Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 55

Severe Weather near Marshalltown

MarshallUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 06:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 7th strongest of the 246 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 17 May 2026. 23 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued May 17 at 7:30PM CDT until May 18 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS La Crosse WI

An estimated 181,553 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)55 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates42.0000, -93.2000
Nearest CityMarshalltown (25 km)
Population Exposed181.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-05-18T00:30:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f58d793523b6d3e8507eadbac09c00f8

Score Breakdown

65
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescFayette, IA; Winneshiek, IA; Fillmore, MN; Olmsted, MN; Chickasaw, IA; Floyd, IA; Howard, IA; Mitchell, IA; Dodge, MN; Mower, MN; Bremer, IA; Butler, IA; Cerro Gordo, IA; Emmet, IA; Franklin, IA; Hancock, IA; Humboldt, IA; Kossuth, IA; Palo Alto, IA; Pocahontas, IA; Winnebago, IA; Worth, IA; Wright, IA and 3 more areas
HeadlineTornado Watch issued May 17 at 7:30PM CDT until May 18 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS La Crosse WI
Expires2026-05-18T01:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS La Crosse WI
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f58d793523b6d3e8507eadbac09c00f8546324ea.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f58d793523b6d3e8507eadbac09c00f8546324ea.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.185400f777a1fd983bb18e0141da29ce36949898.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec91e3e1e0561fb16bcf035cef72e31a51a3ac4c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc1c4776d33c72a7ade7e1eba45f949c6f2deb45.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc1c4776d33c72a7ade7e1eba45f949c6f2deb45.002.1"]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Marshalltown (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.